Betting Line Trump Impeachment
Every US President faces talk of impeachment at some point during their term(s) in office, but impeachment betting odds are usually reserved for when there is a serious Congressional push to launch an inquiry or bring charges against a sitting head of state.
Of course, when that happens, impeachment odds become the most popular and sought-after betting lines at legal online sportsbooks, and that’s been the case in 2019 as Donald Trump faces down serious allegations of impeachable offenses.
- Betting odds are low that the Senate will actually convict Trump and remove him from office. A conviction requires 2/3 Senate majority, which would require 20 Republican Senators to vote for.
- Crunching the numbers, we arrive at a long expression that gives us the odds of a Trump impeachment where the only variable is p. Suppose there was even just a 1% chance of a Republican crossing.
Still, because impeachment is an intensely political process with ramifications on both sides of the aisle and with the public at large (no matter which way the proceedings go), bettors are often extremely tempered in their analysis of whether or not a President will be impeached. That said, as with all legal political betting, there is much to be gleaned about a President’s impeachment chances by looking to the odds boards.
As former President Donald Trump faced impeachment twice (Dec. 2021), many online sportsbooks like what they see with this new trend, especially from a betting perspective. That's why many of the top books – having moved on from Trump impeachment odds – are now embracing Joe Biden impeachment odds. By Mark Angelides. The betting markets are going full throttle in trying to predict the outcome of next week’s impeachment trial. While Democrats race to convict former President Trump, the. Donald Trump Betting Odds & Props according to Bovada Sportsbook. Updated on February 6, 2021. When will the Senate vote on whether to convict Donald Trump? Before February 12, 2021 +1600 February 12, 2021 +400 February 13, 2021 +800 February 14, 2021 +1100 February 15, 2021 +800 February 16, 2021 +750 February 17, 2021 +1150 February 18, 2021 +1350.
Is It Legal To Bet On Presidential Impeachment Odds?
It is largely considered to be legal to wager on Presidential impeachment odds if you use an offshore betting site to do so. Despite the growing number of US-regulated online and brick-and-mortar sportsbooks popping up across the country, you will not find political betting odds at these locations.
This is because most state governments either disallow or discourage sportsbooks from offering election odds. Fortunately, political betting has always been popular at offshore sites, and those remain the only places to find odds on politics and government-related issues.
Important note: In two US states – Connecticut and Washington – there are laws on the books that ban online betting of any kind. That said, these laws are considered unenforceable, and neither state has ever arrested or fined any resident for gambling over the Internet. Still, if you live in CT or WA, we advise you to follow local and all federal betting laws and only bet online at your own risk.
Best Sportsbooks Offering Impeachment Betting Lines
| Site Name | Current Bonus | U.S. | Visit Site |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% Max $250 | Visit Site Review | ||
| 2 | 50% Max $1,000 | Visit Site Review | |
| 3 | 50% Max $1,000 | Visit Site Review | |
| 4 | 100% Max $500 | Visit Site Review |
Betting On Donald Trump's Impeachment Odds
Typically, you can bet on Donald Trump’s impeachment odds at any reputable offshore sports betting site, but there are no betting lines posted for his impeachment chances at the moment. That is largely due to the forthcoming 2020 Presidential election, where Democratic Party leaders are hopeful that US voters will oust Trump and alleviate the need for them to begin the impeachment process again.
Our political prop bets guide is a good tool for exploring prop bets such as impeachment odds, and other factors surrounding the 2020 Presidential election. This prob bet tutorial will properly prepare bettors for when impeachment odds eventually reappear at political sportsbooks.
Current Odds for Donald Trump to be Impeached Again
There are no current odds for Donald Trump being impeached at major offshore legal sports betting sites because of the upcoming Presidential election in November. Democrats, and even some Republicans, like US Senator Mitt Romney, are hopeful that Joe Biden will win the Presidency and alleviate the need for impeachment hearings to begin again.
Will Donald Trump be impeached again? If he wins his reelection bid in 2020, he almost certainly will face impeachment hearings in the US House. If and when that happens, top political sportsbooks will produce odds that will allow bettors to wager the outcome.
Will Biden complete first term as U.S. President?
- Yes -165
- No +125
Will New Articles Of Impeachment Be Filed
- Before Jan 20, 2021 - Yes -220
- Before Jan 20, 2021 - No +155
What Is a Presidential Impeachment?
Impeachment is a largely misunderstood concept. Many people think that impeachment means that a President will be removed from office, but that’s actually never happened. Impeachment is a legal accusation of criminal malfeasance, and it is purely a political process. An analogy to Presidential impeachment is, for private citizens, a criminal or civil charge in a court of law. And like every person in America, once impeached, the President gets due process before removal can ever happen.
Throughout all of US history, only two Presidents have ever been impeached: Bill Clinton (1998-1999) and Andrew Johnson (1868). Richard Nixon was set to face impeachment in 1974, but he resigned the Presidency before any charges were brought.
How Does the Impeachment Process Work?
The Presidential impeachment process is simple enough, and it includes the following fundamental procedural steps:
- The US House of Representatives opens an impeachment inquiry against a sitting President after reports or evidence that said President has committed an illegal action that falls under the umbrella of “Treason, Bribery, or other high crimes and misdemeanors.”
- The US House takes a vote on whether or not to bring Articles of Impeachment against the President. A simple majority is required to officially bring such charges.
- Once the Articles of Impeachment are passed, the US Senate takes over, conducting a trial of the President. This trial is overseen by the Chief Justice of the US Supreme Court.
- If the President is found guilty via a two-thirds supermajority vote in the Senate, he or she is immediately removed from office.
- The Vice President then becomes the President of the United States.
- If the VP is also impeached, the House Speaker would become President.
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In January 2019, The Democrats will control the House of Representatives. As a result, we’ll likely see Trump Impeachment Odds increase over the next year. There’s a fairly good chance, we’re going to see the odds continue to increase as a Democratic lead House starts investigating President Trump. Don’t think for one minute that they won’t. Many incoming Democrats ran on investigating trump, and that’s why I think now’s as good a time as any to start really looking at Trump Impeachment odds. Since impeachment odds are now better than ever, now may be the best time to act.
One can only imagine what the new leadership will be investigating. Considering the Republicans have kept a lot of the house testimony secret, day one of the new Congress will be busy. I wouldn’t be surprised if we don’t see multiple stories immediately after swearing in. I think the Democrats have a lot of documents ready to go on zero hour.
Trump Impeachment Odds At Online Sportsbooks
(Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
The Online Sports are listing Trump Impeachment odds based on a confluence of events. Therefore, they can change quickly. How quickly isn’t exactly known. One thing that is known, however, is that the odd odds of a Trump Impeachment will be more likely with at Democratically controlled House. Because of this, you may see odds go from their current +150 to a negative number. And it may happen fast. Trump Impeachment Odds will go crazy over the next year. For that reason, you may want to consider placing that bet on Trump Impeachment now.
If you are considering taking advantage of the current Trump Impeachment odds, there are some things to consider. First, you’ll need to understand that Impeachment is not removal from office. On the contrary, Impeachment is the equivalent of an indictment. It is only a formal charge. In contrast, a Senate Conviction would remove The President. The House only needs a majority vote to Impeach, whereas a conviction in The Senate requires a 2/3 majority.
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How To Bet On Trump Impeachment Odds
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One more thing to note is that as of the writing of this article, no other U.S. friendly sportsbook that I recommend is offering Trump Impeachment odds. Similarly, I would expect other Betting Presidents recommended sportsbooks like betonline.ag, sportsbetting.ag and Intertops.eu soon.
Which Way Will Impeachment Odds Go Over The Next Year
Trump Impeachment Betting Line
Since we’ll have an opposition party in charge of 1/2 of the congress, there’s a better than even chance that odd’s are going to move toward the likelihood of Impeachment. Considering that same party will control the House that votes on actual Impeachment, I would expect Trump Impeachment odds to move toward a negative by next summer. Of course, something could happen that either hastens that move, or eliminates the threat altogether.
Another thing to consider when you’re contemplating a bet on Trump’s Impeachment; Robert Mueller. The Special Council has convicted or plead out many cases and indicted even more. We don’t know when the investigation will end. What’s more, we have no idea what the investigation will reveal. It could end with a complete clearing of President Trump. On the other hand, he could be implicated in dealings that warrant an impeachment.
Other options, of course are complicating. The President could be 100% exonerated, but one of the First Family could be indebted. The involvement of his family in a criminal trial arising out of his campaign could cause a proverbial earthquake around Washington, D.C.
A Brief History Of Trump Impeachment Odds
I started tracking the odds on Impeachment in mid-summer of 2017. On August 27th , the Impeachment odds sat at $500. Since then I’ve seen the odds, even a few months ago, as low as +130. As they are at +150 at bovada right now shows that the odds may be in a holding pattern until the House officially takes power in January of 19. Of course, any big news between now and then could affect the odds. In my opinion, based on the information I’ve gathered from multiple sources (both public and private), I’ve come to this conclusion. Trump Impeachment Odds could reach negative numbers before Fall of 2019. It could be sooner
Much later than Fall might get tricky, however. With a 2020 election coming up, an argument could be made that the American People, not 435 Representatives of 100 Senators decide Trump’s political fate. Of course, it’s totally possible a positive wrap-up of a Mueller hearing could embolden the embattled President and take Impeachment off the table.
If You’re Going To Bet On Impeachment, Choose bovada
Once again, you need to find a legitimate sportsbook that won’t give you the runaround when it’s time for a payout. With bovada, you can rest assured you’ll be paid when you win. I love bovada’s interface, and as someone who tends to bet on the go via mobile, that’s important. bovada is also a full service casino. That means you can roll some slots, play some cards, or play any one of their multitude of games while you wait for the political bet to roll in. Read my bovada.lv politics review here.